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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+7.42vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+6.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.450.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.84+8.53vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.24+10.06vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.52+4.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-0.22vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.18+6.58vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.86+4.36vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+1.47vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.53+3.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.48+2.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.47+0.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.88-3.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.87-4.00vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.53-1.83vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.54-3.06vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-2.79vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-2.91vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-1.44-6.76vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-9.67vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-9.89vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.21-5.06vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-2.90-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.247.2%1st Place
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8.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.7%1st Place
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3.0University of California at Santa Cruz1.4531.6%1st Place
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12.53University of California at Irvine-0.843.4%1st Place
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15.06San Diego State University-1.241.8%1st Place
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10.14Arizona State University-0.524.6%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.6%1st Place
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14.58San Diego State University-1.181.7%1st Place
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13.36San Diego State University-0.863.0%1st Place
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11.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.0%1st Place
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14.33Arizona State University-1.531.8%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.275.5%1st Place
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15.14University of California at Davis-1.481.8%1st Place
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16.63University of California at San Diego-1.131.4%1st Place
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15.21University of California at San Diego-1.471.5%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Irvine-0.882.8%1st Place
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13.0University of California at San Diego-0.872.1%1st Place
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16.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.531.2%1st Place
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15.94University of California at San Diego-1.541.8%1st Place
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17.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.1%1st Place
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18.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.981.1%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Berkeley-1.441.5%1st Place
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13.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.172.5%1st Place
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14.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.942.0%1st Place
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19.94University of California at San Diego-2.210.7%1st Place
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22.02University of California at Davis-2.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Holguin | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 31.6% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Down | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Marley Daniel | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Nate Powers | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Pike Williams | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Kevin Lu | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Mira Shupe | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 18.6% |
| James Carney | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.