Race 7A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 44.6% 27.3% 14.3% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Burke 15.2% 23.2% 21.6% 16.2% 12.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
John Croll 8.5% 12.8% 15.5% 16.8% 17.5% 15.4% 9.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Ian Connors 16.1% 16.3% 21.3% 16.7% 14.9% 9.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Geoff Williams 4.1% 6.3% 8.7% 12.4% 14.8% 15.0% 17.5% 13.7% 7.5%
Keith MacArtney 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 7.9% 11.2% 14.8% 21.3% 19.7% 12.9%
Nicholas Verrochi 5.0% 6.3% 7.3% 12.2% 15.6% 19.0% 17.7% 11.7% 5.2%
Stan Benarick 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.8% 4.4% 7.7% 10.3% 22.0% 46.7%
Bryan Schapperle 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 4.6% 5.9% 11.0% 16.3% 27.4% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.