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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.82vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.60vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.25+6.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+1.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+0.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+0.98vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44+0.32vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84+2.11vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-3.57vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-3.23vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.89-1.52vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.43-1.01vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.18-4.59vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-6.26vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.89-9.31vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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12.99Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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9.74Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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15.93Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Howard | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Peter Miller | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 8.1% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.