Race 3A

2023-triangle-tango-intercollegiate

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robert Chase 35.4% 27.4% 17.9% 10.8% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 9.3% 11.6% 14.8% 16.7% 14.5% 13.0% 9.3% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1%
Brendan Smucker 22.1% 20.8% 18.8% 15.4% 10.5% 7.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
James Unger 4.5% 5.4% 7.4% 8.0% 11.8% 12.6% 13.9% 14.3% 13.4% 8.8%
Marco Distel 4.3% 5.1% 6.6% 8.6% 11.3% 12.3% 14.2% 15.6% 13.0% 8.9%
Jack Houseal 5.4% 6.8% 8.1% 9.7% 11.9% 13.0% 15.3% 13.7% 10.2% 5.9%
Ian Hoogenboom 10.3% 13.0% 14.9% 13.5% 14.1% 12.9% 11.4% 5.7% 3.2% 0.9%
Rylie Cataldo 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 8.7% 12.7% 20.2% 36.7%
Benedict Gorman 3.0% 2.8% 3.6% 5.5% 7.5% 9.8% 10.5% 14.2% 19.8% 23.2%
Torin Stremlau 3.5% 5.0% 5.3% 8.0% 7.8% 11.3% 12.6% 15.5% 16.7% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.