Race 4A

2023-triangle-tango-intercollegiate

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robert Chase 39.6% 27.2% 16.8% 9.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 11.0% 13.2% 15.2% 16.7% 13.8% 12.7% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.7%
Brendan Smucker 21.8% 23.3% 21.1% 15.4% 9.3% 4.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Houseal 5.7% 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 14.1% 13.3% 13.9% 12.7% 10.0% 4.7%
James Unger 5.2% 7.2% 7.8% 10.9% 11.2% 13.5% 14.1% 12.2% 11.4% 6.5%
Marco Distel 4.5% 5.5% 7.2% 8.6% 11.7% 13.2% 13.5% 14.8% 12.8% 8.3%
Torin Stremlau 2.8% 4.7% 5.8% 7.0% 9.8% 11.9% 14.2% 14.9% 15.8% 13.2%
Benedict Gorman 2.4% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 8.2% 9.2% 10.9% 13.4% 18.2% 24.3%
Henry Parker 5.5% 6.5% 9.8% 11.6% 12.0% 13.2% 13.2% 12.2% 9.7% 6.1%
Rylie Cataldo 1.7% 2.0% 3.5% 4.0% 5.7% 6.7% 8.5% 12.6% 19.2% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.