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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+8.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.76vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+4.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30-0.01vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.29vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44+1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.25+1.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.93vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.43vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84+0.13vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.43+0.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-4.55vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-7.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.89-4.30vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.18-6.44vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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5.99Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.13Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.45Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.7Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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15.95Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| William Howard | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| William Haeger | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 6.8% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 13.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| William Bailey | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 6.9% |
| Alex Whipple | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 14.2% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.