Race 5A

2023-triangle-tango-intercollegiate

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 21.2% 22.7% 19.0% 16.0% 10.2% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Robert Chase 39.4% 26.1% 17.8% 10.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Parker 5.3% 7.3% 8.5% 10.9% 13.4% 13.7% 13.9% 11.6% 10.1% 5.5%
Jack Houseal 6.3% 6.2% 9.7% 10.2% 12.9% 14.5% 12.3% 13.6% 9.0% 5.2%
Marco Distel 4.6% 6.1% 7.2% 8.5% 11.2% 13.6% 14.3% 14.3% 12.7% 7.5%
James Unger 4.5% 5.5% 8.3% 10.8% 10.8% 13.4% 12.4% 14.1% 12.3% 7.9%
Torin Stremlau 2.9% 4.6% 5.9% 8.8% 10.2% 10.9% 13.6% 14.5% 15.3% 13.2%
Ian Hoogenboom 11.6% 13.9% 15.4% 15.2% 14.9% 12.1% 8.8% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8%
Benedict Gorman 2.4% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 6.4% 7.6% 10.9% 14.2% 19.8% 24.6%
Rylie Cataldo 1.8% 3.2% 3.3% 4.5% 6.2% 6.4% 10.0% 11.5% 17.9% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.