Race 6A

2023-triangle-tango-intercollegiate

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 22.8% 23.1% 18.9% 15.4% 10.9% 5.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Robert Chase 36.4% 27.6% 17.5% 10.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Unger 5.6% 6.5% 8.3% 9.3% 11.7% 12.8% 13.1% 13.4% 11.5% 8.0%
Torin Stremlau 3.7% 4.1% 5.6% 8.1% 9.8% 11.6% 12.8% 14.8% 16.0% 13.6%
Henry Parker 4.9% 6.9% 9.8% 11.2% 13.1% 12.6% 12.8% 13.1% 9.8% 5.9%
Marco Distel 4.7% 5.3% 7.8% 9.2% 10.0% 13.2% 14.4% 14.2% 13.3% 7.8%
Jack Houseal 5.5% 6.0% 9.5% 10.7% 13.2% 13.9% 15.5% 12.4% 8.6% 4.7%
Ian Hoogenboom 12.0% 13.7% 15.4% 14.5% 14.1% 12.8% 8.7% 5.5% 2.4% 1.0%
Rylie Cataldo 1.7% 2.9% 2.7% 5.1% 5.2% 6.6% 7.6% 12.0% 18.4% 37.6%
Benedict Gorman 2.9% 3.8% 4.5% 6.1% 7.0% 9.3% 11.9% 13.7% 19.7% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.