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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.02vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.71vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55+3.72vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+2.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84+3.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44+0.18vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-2.34vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.25-0.93vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-2.12vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.43-0.06vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-7.02vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-5.57vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-7.05vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.81-1.99vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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9.88Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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12.94Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.43Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Rhode Island1.810.0%1st Place
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15.75Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 3.7% |
| Peter Miller | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Sola | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 24.7% | 29.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 20.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.