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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+5.01vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+8.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+2.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+2.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.55+2.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30-1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-0.04vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.25-0.54vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-2.75vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.43+0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.18-3.08vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-5.35vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-2.98vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-6.78vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.55Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.48Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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12.02Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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15.21Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| William Haeger | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| William Howard | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 20.2% | 14.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 10.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.