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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+5.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+3.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+4.49vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+2.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+1.52vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+3.87vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.25-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.18-1.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-5.10vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.30-7.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-2.73vs Predicted
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15Bates College2.43-2.56vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.38-0.78vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.87Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.24Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.73Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.44Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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15.22Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| William Haeger | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 11.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Howard | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Alex Whipple | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 5.6% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 13.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 57.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.