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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+6.03vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.25+7.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+5.08vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+4.93vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+0.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08+0.05vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36+1.88vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-0.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.55-1.67vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-2.29vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-1.12vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.05-7.02vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.18-4.36vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.11vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.43-3.35vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.03Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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6.29Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.33Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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13.65Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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16.08Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 14.6% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Howard | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 22.3% | 15.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.