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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+7.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.35vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+6.59vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+5.07vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+0.24vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-2.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+0.77vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.36vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35+0.30vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.18-0.90vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.55-3.96vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.43-0.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.18vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.25-5.51vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-0.77vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.84-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.24Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.3Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.17Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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13.2Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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16.23Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.5% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 20.7% | 14.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| William Howard | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 61.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.