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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+5.47vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+1.99vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+4.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+2.08vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.25+3.50vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55+1.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35+1.00vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.43+3.69vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.89-3.04vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84+0.38vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.18-2.45vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.05-7.07vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.63-7.04vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-0.77vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.55-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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4.99Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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13.69Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.01Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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16.23Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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9.07Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| William Haeger | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| William Howard | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 22.5% | 15.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 61.2% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.