Race 8A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 44.6% 27.3% 15.7% 7.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 2.4% 4.7% 6.9% 10.0% 15.9% 19.1% 18.1% 14.6% 8.3%
John Croll 8.0% 13.9% 14.5% 16.5% 17.2% 16.5% 10.3% 2.7% 0.4%
Sara Burke 19.3% 23.0% 21.9% 15.5% 12.2% 5.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Nicholas Verrochi 5.0% 7.5% 10.0% 14.1% 15.2% 14.9% 15.3% 12.2% 5.8%
Keith MacArtney 3.4% 3.0% 5.4% 8.2% 10.9% 16.4% 20.2% 19.5% 13.0%
Ian Connors 13.8% 17.0% 19.4% 19.5% 14.5% 9.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Stan Benarick 1.5% 1.3% 2.7% 3.8% 4.1% 7.1% 10.9% 22.9% 45.7%
Bryan Schapperle 2.0% 2.3% 3.5% 4.5% 6.9% 9.6% 18.8% 26.1% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.