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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+6.28vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+2.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+4.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+3.66vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+3.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.63vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.25+1.27vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-3.67vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.55-1.77vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84+0.16vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.18-2.63vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.43-0.99vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-8.17vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-6.12vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-3.90vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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4.89Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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12.16Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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13.01Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.88Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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13.1Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.93Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| William Howard | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 13.0% |
| William Haeger | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 11.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 16.0% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.