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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+6.27vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+7.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+5.75vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+3.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+0.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.55+2.05vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-3.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.25+0.53vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84+0.94vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-3.03vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.43+0.08vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-4.43vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.52-5.92vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.18-6.37vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.08Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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15.96Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.3% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| William Howard | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 12.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.