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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.06+7.26vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.51+3.45vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.10+4.80vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.31+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.08+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.13+0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.04-0.14vs Predicted
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9Unknown School0.71-3.57vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.06+2.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.56-1.98vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.51-2.86vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.25-1.24vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-2.26+0.67vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.82-4.24vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.54-6.98vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.68-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26University of Washington-0.066.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Washington0.5112.8%1st Place
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7.8Western Washington University-0.106.4%1st Place
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6.58Western Washington University0.319.2%1st Place
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8.21University of Oregon-0.086.3%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington0.188.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Victoria0.136.9%1st Place
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7.86University of Washington-0.046.3%1st Place
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5.43Unknown School0.7113.5%1st Place
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12.16Western Washington University-1.062.2%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.473.9%1st Place
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10.02University of Washington-0.563.8%1st Place
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10.14Western Washington University-0.513.6%1st Place
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12.76Oregon State University-1.251.8%1st Place
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15.67University of Victoria-2.260.8%1st Place
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11.76University of Oregon-0.822.8%1st Place
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10.02Western Washington University-0.544.3%1st Place
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14.15University of Oregon-1.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Dougherty | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Lemke | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Sommer | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Agustines | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hall | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 10.2% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 47.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.