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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.31+5.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+7.80vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.08+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+0.52vs Predicted
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6Unknown School0.71-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.04+1.03vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.54+2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.06-0.87vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.10-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.82+0.77vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.06+0.08vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.51-2.96vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.25-1.39vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-2.26+0.67vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria0.13-8.53vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.68-2.86vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.56-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Western Washington University0.319.2%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.473.9%1st Place
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7.41University of Washington0.187.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Oregon-0.085.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Washington0.5113.5%1st Place
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5.39Unknown School0.7113.3%1st Place
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8.03University of Washington-0.046.7%1st Place
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10.05Western Washington University-0.543.6%1st Place
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8.13University of Washington-0.066.2%1st Place
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8.15Western Washington University-0.107.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Oregon-0.822.9%1st Place
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12.08Western Washington University-1.062.3%1st Place
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10.04Western Washington University-0.513.4%1st Place
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12.61Oregon State University-1.252.2%1st Place
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15.67University of Victoria-2.260.9%1st Place
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7.47University of Victoria0.137.5%1st Place
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14.14University of Oregon-1.681.5%1st Place
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10.05University of Washington-0.564.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Ellie Blakemore | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Marty Weigel | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
Jaden Unruh | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Joseph Qualtier | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Thomas Pentimonti | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Alejandro Agustines | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Oliver Sommer | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Allison Sasaki | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
Enzo Dougherty | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Cooper Snell | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Sadie Creemer | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
Peter Hall | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
Ethan Wickman | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
Nicola Fretenberg | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 48.1% |
Nathan Lemke | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Ryan Tuttle | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 20.6% | 21.9% |
Lauren McClintock | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.