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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.06+7.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+7.78vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.10+4.86vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.31+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18+1.46vs Predicted
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7Unknown School0.71-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.82+3.72vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.08-0.78vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.51-0.01vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.54-0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.04-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.13-5.53vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.25-1.47vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.56-5.03vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.06-3.89vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.68-2.70vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-2.26-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12University of Washington-0.066.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.474.3%1st Place
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7.86Western Washington University-0.107.0%1st Place
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6.61Western Washington University0.319.7%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington0.5113.4%1st Place
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7.46University of Washington0.187.0%1st Place
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5.35Unknown School0.7112.7%1st Place
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11.72University of Oregon-0.823.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Oregon-0.085.9%1st Place
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9.99Western Washington University-0.513.8%1st Place
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10.24Western Washington University-0.543.9%1st Place
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8.11University of Washington-0.046.2%1st Place
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7.47University of Victoria0.137.1%1st Place
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12.53Oregon State University-1.252.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Washington-0.563.9%1st Place
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12.11Western Washington University-1.062.2%1st Place
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14.3University of Oregon-1.681.1%1st Place
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15.67University of Victoria-2.260.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Dougherty | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Marty Weigel | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Cooper Snell | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Agustines | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Sommer | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Lemke | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Wickman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 8.8% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Peter Hall | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 23.2% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.