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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+9.30vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.51+3.80vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.31+4.15vs Predicted
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4Unknown School0.71+1.53vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.10+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.08+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.13+0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.06+0.59vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.01-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.18-2.11vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.54-0.27vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.51-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.56-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.04-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.82-2.39vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.06-3.00vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University-1.25-3.66vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.68-3.08vs Predicted
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19University of Victoria-2.26-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.474.5%1st Place
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5.8University of Washington0.5112.2%1st Place
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7.15Western Washington University0.318.6%1st Place
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5.53Unknown School0.7113.0%1st Place
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8.35Western Washington University-0.106.2%1st Place
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8.76University of Oregon-0.085.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Victoria0.137.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Washington-0.066.5%1st Place
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8.5Unknown School-0.015.9%1st Place
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7.89University of Washington0.187.1%1st Place
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10.73Western Washington University-0.543.7%1st Place
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10.68Western Washington University-0.513.4%1st Place
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10.81University of Washington-0.563.4%1st Place
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8.63University of Washington-0.045.6%1st Place
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12.61University of Oregon-0.821.9%1st Place
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13.0Western Washington University-1.062.1%1st Place
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13.34Oregon State University-1.251.8%1st Place
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14.92University of Oregon-1.681.1%1st Place
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16.44University of Victoria-2.260.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marty Weigel | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Agustines | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Snell | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Lemke | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Liv Middleton | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Sommer | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Peter Hall | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.