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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.16vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+7.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+5.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+3.60vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.24+10.49vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.54+9.64vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.18+7.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.87+5.16vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+4.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13+6.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.44+2.14vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.80-1.82vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.86-2.14vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-4.24vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.52-7.07vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-3.58vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.53-4.76vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-8.41vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.48-5.96vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.21-2.60vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-0.88-10.16vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.47-8.79vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-2.90-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of California at Santa Cruz1.4528.8%1st Place
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9.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.1%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.246.7%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.177.0%1st Place
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15.49San Diego State University-1.241.8%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.227.8%1st Place
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16.64University of California at San Diego-1.541.6%1st Place
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15.33San Diego State University-1.182.5%1st Place
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14.16University of California at San Diego-0.871.8%1st Place
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14.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.142.5%1st Place
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17.29University of California at San Diego-1.131.2%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.274.5%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Los Angeles-0.942.3%1st Place
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16.14University of California at Berkeley-1.441.9%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Irvine-0.802.4%1st Place
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13.86San Diego State University-0.862.3%1st Place
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12.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.883.1%1st Place
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10.93Arizona State University-0.523.3%1st Place
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15.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.6%1st Place
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15.24Arizona State University-1.532.0%1st Place
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12.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.4%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Davis-1.481.6%1st Place
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20.4University of California at San Diego-2.210.8%1st Place
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13.84University of California at Irvine-0.882.2%1st Place
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16.21University of California at San Diego-1.471.6%1st Place
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22.51University of California at Davis-2.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 28.8% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Catalina Brody | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Emilia McNabb | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emre Gurdal | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Bennett Alger | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Down | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| James Makler | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Nate Powers | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| James Carney | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.