Race 9A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 44.6% 28.0% 14.8% 7.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Croll 7.0% 11.6% 14.4% 19.5% 18.0% 15.2% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4%
Ian Connors 13.6% 17.0% 20.0% 17.9% 15.1% 9.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.4%
Geoff Williams 4.8% 4.1% 8.0% 11.5% 14.1% 18.0% 18.4% 15.0% 6.1%
Nicholas Verrochi 5.2% 6.9% 10.7% 12.4% 14.8% 17.4% 14.0% 12.7% 5.9%
Sara Burke 17.9% 23.9% 22.2% 15.3% 11.4% 6.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Keith MacArtney 3.1% 4.1% 3.9% 7.8% 11.7% 15.3% 21.3% 20.7% 12.1%
Bryan Schapperle 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 4.3% 7.3% 10.3% 17.0% 25.9% 26.4%
Stan Benarick 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 3.9% 3.8% 7.1% 12.6% 19.6% 47.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.