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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.71+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.13+5.45vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.51+2.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+5.89vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.18+2.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.10+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.08+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.56+1.99vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.31-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.06-1.66vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-1.25+1.50vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.04-4.17vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.51-2.82vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.54-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.82-3.12vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.06-3.99vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-2.26-1.30vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.68-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Unknown School0.7114.4%1st Place
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7.45University of Victoria0.137.8%1st Place
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5.52University of Washington0.5112.5%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.474.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Washington0.188.2%1st Place
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7.88Western Washington University-0.106.2%1st Place
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8.26University of Oregon-0.086.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Washington-0.564.0%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University0.318.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Washington-0.066.2%1st Place
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12.5Oregon State University-1.251.8%1st Place
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7.83University of Washington-0.047.0%1st Place
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10.18Western Washington University-0.513.7%1st Place
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10.25Western Washington University-0.543.4%1st Place
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11.88University of Oregon-0.822.3%1st Place
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12.01Western Washington University-1.062.0%1st Place
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15.7University of Victoria-2.260.8%1st Place
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13.98University of Oregon-1.681.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Agustines | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Lemke | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marty Weigel | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Snell | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren McClintock | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 8.6% |
| Oliver Sommer | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Peter Hall | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 49.5% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.