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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.13+6.53vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.18+5.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+6.90vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51+1.50vs Predicted
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5Unknown School0.71+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.06+2.10vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.10+0.79vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.31-1.11vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51+0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.04-1.84vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-1.25+1.58vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.08-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.56-3.03vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.54-3.93vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.06-2.87vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.82-4.10vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.68-2.94vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-2.26-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53University of Victoria0.137.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Washington0.186.9%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.473.7%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington0.5113.1%1st Place
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5.39Unknown School0.7113.3%1st Place
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8.1University of Washington-0.067.3%1st Place
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7.79Western Washington University-0.106.3%1st Place
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6.89Western Washington University0.318.7%1st Place
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9.83Western Washington University-0.514.6%1st Place
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8.16University of Washington-0.045.5%1st Place
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12.58Oregon State University-1.251.8%1st Place
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8.11University of Oregon-0.087.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Washington-0.564.2%1st Place
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10.07Western Washington University-0.544.2%1st Place
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12.13Western Washington University-1.062.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Oregon-0.822.1%1st Place
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14.06University of Oregon-1.681.2%1st Place
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15.67University of Victoria-2.260.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lemke | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Agustines | 13.3% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Cooper Snell | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Sommer | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 8.3% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lauren McClintock | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Peter Hall | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 21.4% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.