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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+6.28vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+5.53vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College1.04+4.37vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.20+2.78vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.33+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.18vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.65+0.99vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.55+0.45vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.96-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois0.44-0.80vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.27-5.07vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University0.76-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.99-6.29vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.12-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Indiana University1.198.8%1st Place
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7.53University of Wisconsin1.147.1%1st Place
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7.37Hillsdale College1.047.4%1st Place
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6.78University of Wisconsin1.209.3%1st Place
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8.45Purdue University0.925.5%1st Place
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6.43University of Chicago1.339.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Saint Thomas0.996.2%1st Place
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8.99Ohio State University0.654.6%1st Place
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9.45Marquette University0.553.5%1st Place
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8.71Michigan Technological University0.965.5%1st Place
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10.2University of Illinois0.443.7%1st Place
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6.93Northwestern University1.278.6%1st Place
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8.78Michigan State University0.765.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Notre Dame0.998.2%1st Place
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7.21University of Michigan1.127.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Arden Carleton | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 21.6% |
| Jake Weinstein | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Dougie Cowan | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.