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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+6.71vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.76+6.74vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.33+3.62vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27+2.83vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.99+3.01vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.55+3.34vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.96+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.99-0.39vs Predicted
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9Indiana University1.19-1.85vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.65-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.20-4.24vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois0.44-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.12-5.68vs Predicted
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14Purdue University0.92-5.31vs Predicted
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15Hillsdale College1.04-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71University of Wisconsin1.147.2%1st Place
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8.74Michigan State University0.765.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Chicago1.338.2%1st Place
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6.83Northwestern University1.278.9%1st Place
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8.01University of Saint Thomas0.996.8%1st Place
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9.34Marquette University0.554.5%1st Place
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8.62Michigan Technological University0.966.5%1st Place
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7.61University of Notre Dame0.997.6%1st Place
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7.15Indiana University1.198.3%1st Place
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8.86Ohio State University0.655.5%1st Place
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6.76University of Wisconsin1.208.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Illinois0.443.8%1st Place
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7.32University of Michigan1.128.6%1st Place
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8.69Purdue University0.925.0%1st Place
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7.49Hillsdale College1.046.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Dougie Cowan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 20.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Arden Carleton | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.