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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.92+7.55vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+5.02vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College1.04+4.54vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.76+4.58vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.99+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.99vs Predicted
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7Indiana University1.19+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.12-0.82vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.55+0.53vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.27-3.18vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois0.44-0.78vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University0.96-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.14-5.38vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University0.65-5.02vs Predicted
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15University of Chicago1.33-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Purdue University0.925.6%1st Place
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7.02University of Wisconsin1.209.2%1st Place
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7.54Hillsdale College1.047.8%1st Place
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8.58Michigan State University0.765.9%1st Place
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7.66University of Notre Dame0.996.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Saint Thomas0.995.9%1st Place
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7.15Indiana University1.197.3%1st Place
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7.18University of Michigan1.128.7%1st Place
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9.53Marquette University0.554.0%1st Place
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6.82Northwestern University1.277.7%1st Place
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10.22University of Illinois0.443.5%1st Place
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8.72Michigan Technological University0.965.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Wisconsin1.148.3%1st Place
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8.98Ohio State University0.654.7%1st Place
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6.43University of Chicago1.3310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Arden Carleton | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Dougie Cowan | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% |
| Jake Weinstein | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 20.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.