← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame0.99+6.75vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.27+4.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.20+3.77vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.14+3.51vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University0.96+3.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago1.33+0.41vs Predicted
-
7Indiana University1.19+0.22vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University0.76+0.61vs Predicted
-
9Hillsdale College1.04-1.50vs Predicted
-
10University of Saint Thomas0.99-1.96vs Predicted
-
11Ohio State University0.65-2.01vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan1.12-4.73vs Predicted
-
13Marquette University0.55-3.41vs Predicted
-
14Purdue University0.92-5.32vs Predicted
-
15University of Illinois0.44-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.75University of Notre Dame0.996.5%1st Place
-
6.97Northwestern University1.278.0%1st Place
-
6.77University of Wisconsin1.208.7%1st Place
-
7.51University of Wisconsin1.146.9%1st Place
-
8.54Michigan Technological University0.965.4%1st Place
-
6.41University of Chicago1.3310.4%1st Place
-
7.22Indiana University1.198.2%1st Place
-
8.61Michigan State University0.765.0%1st Place
-
7.5Hillsdale College1.047.6%1st Place
-
8.04University of Saint Thomas0.997.8%1st Place
-
8.99Ohio State University0.655.1%1st Place
-
7.27University of Michigan1.128.0%1st Place
-
9.59Marquette University0.553.8%1st Place
-
8.68Purdue University0.925.3%1st Place
-
10.14University of Illinois0.443.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Jake Weinstein | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Dougie Cowan | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Arden Carleton | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Rachel Bartel | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 15.6% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.