Race 3B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Hernandez 22.4% 26.8% 19.5% 14.8% 10.3% 3.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeff Hahl 9.9% 11.6% 14.2% 17.0% 16.7% 12.1% 9.5% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
David Harrison 12.8% 15.2% 17.7% 18.1% 15.0% 11.2% 6.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Viera 4.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.7% 11.4% 16.7% 16.6% 13.8% 10.1% 4.6% 1.5%
Lucas Kindervater 2.6% 2.5% 4.1% 3.4% 7.0% 8.7% 11.7% 15.7% 16.4% 18.4% 9.5%
Marten Kendrick 2.6% 4.4% 4.5% 6.2% 8.9% 11.3% 14.1% 15.9% 16.7% 10.5% 4.9%
Ben Spector 37.5% 23.0% 18.0% 12.1% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wesley Wallace 1.1% 1.7% 1.0% 3.1% 3.1% 6.0% 9.3% 12.6% 17.1% 22.6% 22.4%
Drew Lisicki 5.0% 6.5% 8.8% 10.8% 13.5% 15.6% 14.1% 11.6% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2%
Benton Morton 1.6% 2.2% 4.1% 4.5% 6.3% 9.5% 11.8% 14.6% 17.8% 19.9% 7.7%
David Horton 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 6.2% 9.2% 19.4% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.