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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+5.95vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+4.82vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.14+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.12+3.16vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.55+4.57vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.33+0.46vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.76+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.99+0.02vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.96-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.99-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois0.44-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.20-5.27vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University0.65-3.93vs Predicted
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14Hillsdale College1.04-6.51vs Predicted
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15Purdue University0.92-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Indiana University1.198.8%1st Place
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6.82Northwestern University1.279.3%1st Place
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7.61University of Wisconsin1.146.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Michigan1.128.7%1st Place
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9.57Marquette University0.554.2%1st Place
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6.46University of Chicago1.338.5%1st Place
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8.7Michigan State University0.764.7%1st Place
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8.02University of Saint Thomas0.996.2%1st Place
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8.77Michigan Technological University0.965.5%1st Place
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7.91University of Notre Dame0.996.5%1st Place
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10.14University of Illinois0.443.8%1st Place
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6.73University of Wisconsin1.209.8%1st Place
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9.07Ohio State University0.655.0%1st Place
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7.49Hillsdale College1.047.4%1st Place
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8.61Purdue University0.925.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Jake Weinstein | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Dougie Cowan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 19.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% |
| Arden Carleton | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.