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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.99+7.32vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+5.48vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.99+4.68vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.12+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20+1.68vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College1.04+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago1.33-0.52vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.55+1.50vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.27-2.17vs Predicted
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10Indiana University1.19-2.82vs Predicted
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11Purdue University0.92-2.49vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University0.96-3.43vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University0.76-4.20vs Predicted
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14University of Illinois0.44-3.81vs Predicted
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15Ohio State University0.65-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32University of Saint Thomas0.996.3%1st Place
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7.48University of Wisconsin1.148.5%1st Place
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7.68University of Notre Dame0.997.6%1st Place
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7.22University of Michigan1.127.9%1st Place
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6.68University of Wisconsin1.208.8%1st Place
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7.53Hillsdale College1.047.3%1st Place
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6.48University of Chicago1.338.0%1st Place
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9.5Marquette University0.553.5%1st Place
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6.83Northwestern University1.278.3%1st Place
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7.18Indiana University1.197.6%1st Place
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8.51Purdue University0.925.5%1st Place
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8.57Michigan Technological University0.966.0%1st Place
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8.8Michigan State University0.765.6%1st Place
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10.19University of Illinois0.443.5%1st Place
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9.01Ohio State University0.655.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Arden Carleton | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Dougie Cowan | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 19.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.