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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+6.68vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+5.35vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.99+5.14vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.33+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.20+0.94vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.76+2.01vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.92+0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.12-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.61-4.25vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.80-2.40vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.65-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois0.44-2.82vs Predicted
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14Hillsdale College1.04-6.32vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.55-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Wisconsin1.147.0%1st Place
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7.35Indiana University1.197.8%1st Place
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8.14University of Saint Thomas0.996.2%1st Place
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6.98Northwestern University1.278.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Chicago1.338.2%1st Place
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6.94University of Wisconsin1.207.8%1st Place
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9.01Michigan State University0.764.9%1st Place
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8.59Purdue University0.925.9%1st Place
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7.42University of Michigan1.128.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Notre Dame1.6111.8%1st Place
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8.6Michigan Technological University0.806.8%1st Place
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9.22Ohio State University0.655.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Illinois0.443.2%1st Place
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7.68Hillsdale College1.045.6%1st Place
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9.83Marquette University0.553.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Jake Weinstein | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Dougie Cowan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nick Myneni | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% |
| Arden Carleton | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.