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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+5.99vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.33+3.72vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.99+4.31vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.76+3.88vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.27+1.02vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.92+1.70vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.65+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame1.61-3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.14-2.21vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.80-2.40vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College1.04-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois0.44-2.90vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.12-6.67vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.55-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99University of Wisconsin1.208.2%1st Place
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7.31Indiana University1.198.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Chicago1.338.5%1st Place
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8.31University of Saint Thomas0.996.4%1st Place
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8.88Michigan State University0.764.8%1st Place
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7.02Northwestern University1.278.3%1st Place
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8.7Purdue University0.924.9%1st Place
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9.27Ohio State University0.653.7%1st Place
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5.68University of Notre Dame1.6113.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Wisconsin1.146.1%1st Place
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8.6Michigan Technological University0.806.8%1st Place
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7.69Hillsdale College1.046.3%1st Place
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10.1University of Illinois0.443.2%1st Place
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7.33University of Michigan1.127.9%1st Place
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9.6Marquette University0.553.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Dempsey | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Dougie Cowan | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Odey Hariri | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% |
| Timothy Hesse | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Arden Carleton | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 18.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.