Race 10A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Croll 9.5% 13.3% 12.8% 17.8% 17.7% 15.2% 8.5% 4.6% 0.6%
Carl Shorett 40.2% 28.7% 16.4% 9.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Burke 19.6% 21.2% 20.1% 16.2% 12.8% 6.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 4.2% 5.4% 8.7% 11.2% 13.6% 18.2% 17.6% 13.7% 7.4%
Nicholas Verrochi 5.1% 7.5% 10.4% 13.0% 14.3% 15.5% 15.9% 12.8% 5.5%
Keith MacArtney 3.0% 3.4% 5.3% 8.2% 11.6% 16.0% 20.4% 18.6% 13.5%
Ian Connors 14.4% 16.4% 20.7% 16.7% 16.0% 9.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Stan Benarick 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 3.9% 3.9% 6.7% 11.5% 22.0% 46.9%
Bryan Schapperle 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 4.0% 6.5% 10.0% 18.4% 26.5% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.