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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.14+2.86vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69-0.05vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.16+1.88vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.77-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.06-0.08vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee1.20-0.41vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.15+0.85vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.14-2.31vs Predicted
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11Auburn University0.63-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of South Florida3.140.1%1st Place
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2.44College of Charleston3.950.3%1st Place
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2.95University of Miami3.690.2%1st Place
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5.88Clemson University2.160.0%1st Place
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4.44Eckerd College2.770.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Florida2.060.0%1st Place
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6.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Tennessee1.200.0%1st Place
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9.85Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.69North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.56Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Harrison | 12.8% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 35.0% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 22.5% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Jeff Hahl | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Viera | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Kindervater | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 7.8% |
| David Horton | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 59.3% |
| Benton Morton | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 8.5% |
| Wesley Wallace | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 26.8% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.