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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.14+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee1.20+3.80vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.16+0.71vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.77-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.06-1.29vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.11vs Predicted
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9Auburn University0.63-0.32vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.14-2.32vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.15-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51College of Charleston3.950.3%1st Place
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3.77University of South Florida3.140.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Miami3.690.2%1st Place
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7.8University of Tennessee1.200.0%1st Place
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5.71Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.51Eckerd College2.770.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Florida2.060.1%1st Place
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6.89Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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8.68Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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7.68North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.78Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 31.8% | 26.7% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Harrison | 15.9% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 22.5% | 24.5% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kindervater | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 9.5% |
| Drew Lisicki | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Jeff Hahl | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Viera | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 25.2% | 23.2% |
| Benton Morton | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 8.2% |
| David Horton | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 18.7% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.