Race 12B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Hernandez 23.6% 24.5% 18.6% 17.0% 9.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Kindervater 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 4.6% 6.5% 9.9% 12.6% 15.8% 16.6% 19.7% 7.4%
Drew Lisicki 4.9% 6.9% 6.5% 9.2% 14.1% 15.7% 14.5% 14.4% 8.8% 4.2% 0.8%
Ben Spector 30.5% 26.9% 19.4% 12.2% 5.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
David Harrison 15.4% 14.1% 19.0% 16.4% 13.5% 11.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.9% 2.5% 5.4% 5.4% 9.2% 11.3% 14.3% 17.2% 15.7% 11.6% 4.5%
Jeff Hahl 11.8% 11.6% 14.5% 16.9% 14.7% 11.8% 10.4% 4.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Natalie Viera 4.8% 6.6% 8.0% 9.5% 13.8% 15.7% 15.7% 11.8% 9.5% 3.6% 1.0%
David Horton 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.9% 5.7% 8.0% 14.6% 59.8%
Benton Morton 1.7% 2.6% 3.8% 3.8% 6.9% 8.8% 11.6% 15.5% 18.7% 18.8% 7.8%
Wesley Wallace 1.3% 1.0% 2.2% 3.4% 4.0% 5.7% 8.1% 11.1% 18.8% 25.8% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.