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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.92+2.72vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.30+1.14vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.74+1.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.56+0.47vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+0.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.35vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Old Dominion University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.14Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.14SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.17Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Runci | 16.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 21.8% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Mike Carr | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% |
| Tristan Berne | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 19.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 35.4% |
| George Prieto | 16.5% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% |
| Don Hause III | 16.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.