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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.60vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.74+1.12vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.56+0.43vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.92-1.15vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-2.14vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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4.12SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.43Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.85Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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3.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 24.5% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| George Prieto | 16.6% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Mike Carr | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% |
| Tristan Berne | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| Zach Runci | 13.4% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% |
| Don Hause III | 15.7% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.