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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+7.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+4.53vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+8.34vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+2.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+3.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.87+7.14vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+5.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.15vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.53+5.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.47+5.20vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.24+3.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.88+0.46vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+0.99vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.52-4.28vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.86-1.54vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.44-0.88vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.18-3.19vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.54-2.04vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.48-3.71vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-7.43vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-0.80-9.04vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-8.44vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-2.21-3.74vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.90-2.47vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.13-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.1%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Cruz1.4528.6%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.177.0%1st Place
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12.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.7%1st Place
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7.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.227.4%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.277.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at San Diego-0.872.1%1st Place
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13.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.882.2%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.246.0%1st Place
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15.02Arizona State University-1.532.2%1st Place
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16.2University of California at San Diego-1.471.2%1st Place
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15.93San Diego State University-1.241.6%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Irvine-0.882.2%1st Place
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14.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.942.2%1st Place
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10.72Arizona State University-0.523.8%1st Place
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14.46San Diego State University-0.862.1%1st Place
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16.12University of California at Berkeley-1.441.8%1st Place
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14.81San Diego State University-1.182.0%1st Place
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16.96University of California at San Diego-1.541.1%1st Place
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16.29University of California at Davis-1.481.7%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.942.1%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Irvine-0.802.5%1st Place
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14.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.142.1%1st Place
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20.26University of California at San Diego-2.210.9%1st Place
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22.53University of California at Davis-2.900.1%1st Place
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17.12University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 28.6% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Parker Ziegler | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Holguin | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Nate Powers | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Down | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| James Makler | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Emre Gurdal | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Catalina Brody | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 19.5% |
| James Carney | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 44.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.