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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.15+0.49vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+1.12vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.57+1.56vs Predicted
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4American University1.85+0.11vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.99+0.50vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.95-0.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.02-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.57-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49U. S. Naval Academy4.150.7%1st Place
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3.12Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.56George Washington University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.11American University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.5Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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5.57Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Nordlund | 65.3% | 23.9% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 13.1% | 27.4% | 24.1% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Hussain Patel | 5.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Russell Gasdia | 6.5% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Bristol | 2.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 16.9% |
| Stephanie Hart | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 21.8% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 2.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| Adam Bossert | 0.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.