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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.58vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.30+1.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.56+1.43vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.74+0.17vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.92-1.18vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11-0.85vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.15Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.43Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.17SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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3.82Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 18.2% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 21.8% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Tristan Berne | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| Mike Carr | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 14.0% |
| Zach Runci | 13.4% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 36.2% |
| Don Hause III | 17.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.