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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+2.75vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.74+2.11vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.56+1.43vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30-0.81vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.92-1.17vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11-0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
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4.11SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.43Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.19Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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3.83Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.19Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 16.4% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Mike Carr | 11.9% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 12.0% |
| Tristan Berne | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 22.4% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Zach Runci | 13.4% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 37.5% |
| George Prieto | 19.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.