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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.56+2.41vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+0.84vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11+1.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.92-2.20vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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5.18Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.71U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.8Old Dominion University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.03Old Dominion University3.300.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Carr | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 13.2% |
| Tristan Berne | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| Don Hause III | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 37.4% |
| George Prieto | 15.0% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% |
| Zach Runci | 15.2% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 25.8% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.