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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.59vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.92+1.75vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.30+0.19vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.56+0.47vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.74-0.86vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-2.17vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.75Old Dominion University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.19Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.14SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
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5.03Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 18.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
| Zach Runci | 15.5% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 21.1% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Tristan Berne | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 19.3% |
| Mike Carr | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 13.9% |
| Don Hause III | 15.5% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.