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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+6.78vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+4.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+5.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+3.38vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.01+4.15vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.07+3.07vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.58+0.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.60-1.00vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.84+0.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.83-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.53-0.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.01+0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.64-6.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.55vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.44vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.93-1.26vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.37-12.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Tufts University1.276.4%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.589.3%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University1.315.4%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.427.3%1st Place
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9.15University of Texas1.014.7%1st Place
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9.07University of South Florida1.074.7%1st Place
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7.12Jacksonville University1.587.2%1st Place
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7.0Boston College1.608.5%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont0.844.1%1st Place
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6.25Tufts University1.8310.2%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island0.532.8%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University0.011.6%1st Place
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6.8University of Michigan1.648.8%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.2%1st Place
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13.56University of New Hampshire-0.371.4%1st Place
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14.74Salve Regina University-0.930.8%1st Place
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4.76Brown University2.3714.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Dominik spinelli | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Matias Martin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Cole Schweda | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 13.2% |
| Braden Vogel | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 24.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 18.3% | 45.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 14.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.