← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.83+5.07vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.60+4.86vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.31+5.12vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.37+0.67vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.27+2.94vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.78vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.07+1.90vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.64-1.36vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont0.84+0.73vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-2.48vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.24vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.53-1.16vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.58-5.75vs Predicted
-
14University of Texas1.01-4.64vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University0.01-2.32vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.37-2.23vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University-0.93-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.07Tufts University1.8310.9%1st Place
-
6.86Boston College1.608.3%1st Place
-
8.12Roger Williams University1.316.0%1st Place
-
4.67Brown University2.3716.4%1st Place
-
7.94Tufts University1.275.2%1st Place
-
6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.6%1st Place
-
8.9University of South Florida1.073.6%1st Place
-
6.64University of Michigan1.6410.1%1st Place
-
9.73University of Vermont0.843.7%1st Place
-
7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.427.8%1st Place
-
11.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.1%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island0.533.0%1st Place
-
7.25Jacksonville University1.586.5%1st Place
-
9.36University of Texas1.013.4%1st Place
-
12.68Northeastern University0.011.9%1st Place
-
13.77University of New Hampshire-0.370.8%1st Place
-
14.66Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Braden Vogel | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Dominik spinelli | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matias Martin | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 21.4% | 24.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 20.8% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.