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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.83+4.96vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.64+4.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+4.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+2.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27+2.99vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.37+7.55vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.07+1.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+3.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.37-4.40vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.60-3.25vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.31-2.92vs Predicted
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12University of Texas1.01-2.76vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.01-0.26vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.58-6.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.53-4.20vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.93-1.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.84-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Tufts University1.8311.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Michigan1.648.7%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.427.4%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.6%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University1.276.8%1st Place
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13.55University of New Hampshire-0.370.9%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida1.074.2%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.4%1st Place
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4.6Brown University2.3716.3%1st Place
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6.75Boston College1.608.8%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University1.316.9%1st Place
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9.24University of Texas1.014.0%1st Place
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12.74Northeastern University0.011.1%1st Place
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7.18Jacksonville University1.586.6%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island0.532.4%1st Place
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14.69Salve Regina University-0.930.8%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont0.843.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dominik spinelli | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 23.9% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matias Martin | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 14.4% |
| Cole Schweda | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 18.1% | 45.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.