← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.30+2.08vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.56+2.42vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.68vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-0.12vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.92-1.16vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.11-0.84vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.74-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08Old Dominion University3.300.3%1st Place
-
4.42Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
-
3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
3.84Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
-
5.16Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
-
3.95SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 26.0% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Tristan Berne | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| George Prieto | 15.7% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Don Hause III | 14.6% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% |
| Zach Runci | 13.2% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 36.6% |
| Mike Carr | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.