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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.60+5.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+6.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+3.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84+5.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+1.87vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.58+1.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31+1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-0.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.37-4.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+1.48vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.37+2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.64-5.23vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.07-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.01-4.95vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.01-2.42vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.53-5.16vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Boston College1.607.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University1.275.8%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University1.8310.3%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont0.843.9%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.9%1st Place
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7.05Jacksonville University1.587.9%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University1.315.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.428.1%1st Place
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4.59Brown University2.3717.0%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.0%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire-0.371.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Michigan1.649.5%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida1.075.9%1st Place
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9.05University of Texas1.014.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University0.011.9%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island0.532.2%1st Place
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14.58Salve Regina University-0.930.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cole Schweda | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Dominik spinelli | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 24.4% |
| Braden Vogel | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Matias Martin | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 14.4% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.