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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.56+3.31vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.30+1.14vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+0.88vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.74+0.15vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.92-1.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.34vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.14Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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4.15SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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3.83Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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5.04Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Berne | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 22.6% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Don Hause III | 14.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% |
| Mike Carr | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 14.0% |
| Zach Runci | 13.1% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.3% |
| George Prieto | 17.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.