← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.83+4.93vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.27+5.71vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+4.39vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.58+1.70vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan1.64+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Boston College1.60-0.12vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.07+0.70vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.37-4.55vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.84-0.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.53-0.35vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas1.01-2.99vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.01-0.74vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.31-6.18vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+0.49vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.37-2.94vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University-0.93-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.93Tufts University1.8310.0%1st Place
-
7.71Tufts University1.276.2%1st Place
-
7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.426.6%1st Place
-
6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.5%1st Place
-
6.7Jacksonville University1.588.8%1st Place
-
6.53University of Michigan1.649.2%1st Place
-
6.88Boston College1.608.1%1st Place
-
8.7University of South Florida1.074.3%1st Place
-
4.45Brown University2.3717.1%1st Place
-
9.34University of Vermont0.843.6%1st Place
-
10.65University of Rhode Island0.532.6%1st Place
-
9.01University of Texas1.014.0%1st Place
-
12.26Northeastern University0.012.2%1st Place
-
7.82Roger Williams University1.316.2%1st Place
-
15.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.430.6%1st Place
-
13.06University of New Hampshire-0.371.4%1st Place
-
14.3Salve Regina University-0.930.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Matias Martin | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Browne | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 20.1% | 53.4% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 11.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 28.9% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.