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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.83+5.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+4.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+4.75vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.58+2.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+2.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31+1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Texas1.01+1.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37-3.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.53+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.64-3.47vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.60-4.26vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93+2.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+2.48vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.07-5.45vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.84-5.48vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.01-3.88vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.37-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Tufts University1.8310.4%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.5%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.276.4%1st Place
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6.89Jacksonville University1.588.2%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.427.5%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University1.315.2%1st Place
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8.97University of Texas1.014.2%1st Place
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4.59Brown University2.3717.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island0.533.3%1st Place
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6.53University of Michigan1.648.8%1st Place
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6.74Boston College1.608.6%1st Place
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14.34Salve Regina University-0.930.4%1st Place
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15.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.430.4%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida1.074.8%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont0.843.3%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University0.011.8%1st Place
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13.21University of New Hampshire-0.371.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dominik spinelli | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.0% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Braden Vogel | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 28.2% | 25.1% |
| Oliver Browne | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 19.4% | 53.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 5.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.