← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.30+2.10vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.60vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.74+1.11vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.92-0.17vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.56-0.55vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-2.13vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.11-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
-
3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
-
4.11SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
-
3.83Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
-
4.45Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
-
5.04Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 25.0% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| George Prieto | 16.8% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Mike Carr | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| Zach Runci | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 10.1% |
| Tristan Berne | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| Don Hause III | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.