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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.15-0.50vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.57+1.59vs Predicted
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4American University1.85+0.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy1.02+0.46vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.99-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.57-1.75vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.95-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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1.5U. S. Naval Academy4.150.6%1st Place
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4.59George Washington University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.15American University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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5.5Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
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5.49Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 13.3% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Nordlund | 64.3% | 24.4% | 9.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 5.0% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Russell Gasdia | 6.6% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 2.9% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 16.3% |
| Rachel Bristol | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| Adam Bossert | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 36.9% |
| Stephanie Hart | 2.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.