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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+6.92vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+5.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+2.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+2.67vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.01+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.64+0.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-0.25vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.01+4.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.37-4.37vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.58-3.24vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.53-0.53vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.07-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.84-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-7.58vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.52vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Tufts University1.275.7%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University1.315.9%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University1.8310.5%1st Place
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6.67Boston College1.609.7%1st Place
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9.07University of Texas1.014.3%1st Place
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6.54University of Michigan1.6410.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.1%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University0.011.7%1st Place
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4.63Brown University2.3716.4%1st Place
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6.76Jacksonville University1.588.2%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island0.532.7%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida1.074.5%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont0.843.7%1st Place
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13.08University of New Hampshire-0.370.9%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.426.9%1st Place
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15.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.430.1%1st Place
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14.31Salve Regina University-0.930.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Braden Vogel | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 5.9% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 22.9% | 11.7% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Browne | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 52.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 27.0% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.