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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+5.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+6.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+7.14vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+2.80vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.08+2.51vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21+4.65vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-2.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-5.78vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.49+1.89vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-2.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-4.71vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.50-8.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-3.17vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.36vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.28-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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6.05Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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11.65Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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10.74Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.83Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.67Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Gullick | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Erica Lush | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 14.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 38.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 21.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.