← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.45+5.71vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+5.82vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.86+6.14vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.92+4.99vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.71+0.80vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.92-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.50-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.28-0.59vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.48-2.00vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.83+2.82vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-1.72vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.46vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.21-2.26vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University2.43-3.99vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University3.08-7.70vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami1.49-3.05vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.81-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.71Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.82Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.14University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
-
8.99Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
5.8Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
5.42University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
6.73Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.41Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.0Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
12.82Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.74Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
11.01Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
8.3Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
-
13.95University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
-
9.36Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Haley Powell | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 20.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Erica Lush | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 34.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.