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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+5.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+4.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+0.63vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.58+1.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.83-0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.60-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.64-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.53+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.01-1.05vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.07-3.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.01-0.80vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.84-4.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+0.44vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.37-2.91vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.6%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University1.316.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University1.277.5%1st Place
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4.63Brown University2.3717.3%1st Place
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6.94Jacksonville University1.587.0%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University1.8310.8%1st Place
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6.9Boston College1.608.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Michigan1.649.4%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island0.532.2%1st Place
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8.95University of Texas1.015.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.426.6%1st Place
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8.42University of South Florida1.074.1%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University0.011.7%1st Place
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9.42University of Vermont0.843.2%1st Place
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15.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.430.3%1st Place
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13.09University of New Hampshire-0.371.2%1st Place
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14.26Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Matias Martin | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 6.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Browne | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 18.6% | 53.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 11.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 27.2% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.