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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+3.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+4.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+3.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+3.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.31+3.13vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.64+0.94vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.60-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.53+2.83vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.58-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.01-0.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-3.34vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.07-3.07vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-1.69vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.84-4.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.01-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.37-2.24vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Brown University2.3717.0%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.0%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University1.8310.3%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University1.276.8%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University1.316.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Michigan1.647.7%1st Place
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6.89Boston College1.608.2%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island0.532.2%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University1.588.2%1st Place
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9.11University of Texas1.014.5%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.426.7%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida1.074.7%1st Place
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11.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont0.844.0%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University0.011.7%1st Place
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13.76University of New Hampshire-0.371.1%1st Place
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14.75Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Braden Vogel | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Cole Schweda | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Matias Martin | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 14.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 21.3% | 25.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 19.0% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.