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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.16vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.87vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+6.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+3.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+0.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-0.27vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.49+5.03vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-2.14vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-1.79vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-2.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-2.25vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.08-6.54vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-9.24vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-9.38vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.8Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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14.03University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.77Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.91Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.8% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 37.0% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
| Erica Lush | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.