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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+5.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+3.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+4.92vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+2.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+1.56vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.15vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28-0.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+0.98vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-2.68vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.08-4.71vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-3.05vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.49-2.19vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-5.31vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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10.95Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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11.69Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Gullick | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Nicole Popp | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 36.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.