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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+5.72vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+3.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+5.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.99vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+3.34vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-0.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.30vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+1.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-0.79vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.08-3.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.48-6.21vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-2.26vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-7.32vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-5.22vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.49-3.03vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.92Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.87Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.74Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.78Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Erica Lush | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 34.3% |
| Heidi Hood | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.